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These
days, a lot of very intelligent people are spending a lot of time
raving about and hyping the revolution of the Internet. Many are
even comparing it to a technological doomsday advance. Is its rapid
infiltration of nearly every aspect of our lives a boon to mankind,
or is it so insidious and invasive of personal privacy that it is
destined to bring about social anarchy and lead our species to cataclysmic
extinction? Perhaps it will engender a fate even worse than death,
with human beings laboring as hypnotized slaves for emotionless,
superintelligent machines, like at Microsoft.
As
with nearly all things in life, the answer lies between the extremes.
The Internet, viewed as a far-reaching social and economic movement,
is no better or worse than any other human endeavor. World War II
killed millions, granted, but it also spurred technological innovation,
finally ended the Great Depression, and netted Swiss bankers some
very cool cars. The Internet is likewise doing great things, financial
and otherwise, even some things you might call amazing, but is it
really the communication and economic revolution pundits keep yammering
about? I think not.
The
wheel. The discovery of agriculture. The transistor. Those were
technological revolutions. They benefited the entire race and altered
the course of human history. The Internet allows you to order cheesecake
from your office desk. Hey, couldnt I do that with the telephone?
And what is the Internet, really? Boiled down, its just a telephone
with a visual interface. Its a QuickieMart for information that
can still be found in most libraries, or for ordering stuff you
can get more quickly and cheaper at your local store.
For
all its e-everything multifunctionalism, the Internet is simply
a collection of capabilities that have long been in place. You can
order stuff (like on the phone), send messages to friends (like
in the mail), and get any kind of pornography or battery-operated
fun toy that your libido desires (like in Amsterdam). It enables
us to do things a little better in some cases, a lot worse in others,
it just aims to do it all faster. But when you hear of a new toaster
that browns in half the time, do you call it a revolution in toast?
Im reminded of the psychotic that Ben Stiller gave a ride to in
the film "Something About Mary". His novel idea was a
workout tape for six-minute abs, compared to the seven minute ab
videos currently on the market ("and if youre not satisfied,
well send you the extra minute
for free!"). He thought
his idea was a revolution in workout videos, when it was really
just saving some time. Faster is often better, but saving time in
itself is not groundbreaking.
On
TV, only that damn taco dog annoys me more than the endless parade
of commercials with symphonic music and a sophomoric voice-over
telling me how "the Internet is changing the world
"
Perhaps, but its still no fun picking through garbage piles in
a slum outside Mexico City. Give a starving third world farmer an
Internet connection and his family still goes hungry each night.
They just get to share the experience with other starving people
around the world in the "Hungry Folks" chat room.
Ok,
ok, so a lot of people are selling things online and making wads
of money in the process. But how much of e-commerce is just hype?
The Nasdaq hiccups arent due to technology suddenly not being valuable,
but because far too many Internet companies either cant convince
people to shop online or dont sell much of anything at all. Thousands
and thousands of e-tailors will be spending their last venture capital
dollar on Chapter 7 filings because they failed to make the leap
of insight that, wonder of wonders, most people still prefer trying
clothes on before buying them. Some Internet retail sites will survive
and may actually begin making a profit, but whats the big deal?
Ordering goods by remote was an old idea when your grandfather was
first pooping his britches. He may be doing the same these days.
Ordering from home was a revolutionary idea back in the 1800s.
It was called a catalog, and it probably got the goods to your door
twice as effectively as the so called e-tailers did last Christmas.
Its
not that I dont appreciate the Internet. It has made life a bit
more convenient for those of us lucky enough to live outside the
Third World, and is a boon for professionals such as myself who
conduct research and communicate for a living. Business to business
potential is growing, its helped people connect with one another,
but please, spare me any more e-hype. The actual number of people
who shop online for anything other than a Russian bride is still
marginal. Half the population doesnt use the web for anything more
than email and chat rooms. Who surfs the web anymore? No-one.
And why? Because most web sites on the Internet, dare I say it,
are full of completely worthless crap.
No,
were not talkin about a revolution when we talk about the Internet.
Its a very cool idea which has taken basic modern services already
in place and sped them up. Hopefully with DSL, advances in data
compression and the like, it will be speeding things up even more.
But unlike true revolutionary human advances, its all about e-hype
at this point. The potential of the Internet is still largely that:
potential. Outside of a few porn addicts, some dot.com millionaires,
and the occasional idiot whos learning how to assemble butane bombs
or save money by doing home surgery, few of us have had our lives
radically altered by the Internet. Still, Im open to someone changing
my mind, and it just might happen in an Internet chat room. The
Net is still young, still growing, and who knows, it just might
live up to the hype, and if it does, its current status as a revolution
may be validated by sociologists and historians of the future.
In
the meantime, Im going to leave work tonight to hit the video store
for a DVD, will visit the library to get a book for the weekend,
but will also email a friend of mine in Finland, because I could
never afford to call her. And you know, its gonna be alright.
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